What is Sensex & Nifty | सेंसेक्स और निफ्टी क्या है
Understanding Indices:
If you are asked what is the gender equality
ratio in your state? You will refer an indices and give an overview by male-female
ratio in your state or country.
Similarly, if I were to ask you how the stock
market is moving today, how would you answer my question? There are
approximately 5,000 listed companies in the Bombay Stock Exchange and about 1600
listed companies on the National Stock Exchange. It would be clumsy to check
each and every company, figure out if they are up or down for the day and then
give a detailed answer.
Instead, you would just check a few important
companies across key industrial sectors. If a majority of these companies are
moving up you would say markets are up, if the majority is down, you would say
markets are down.
So every time someone asks you how the markets
are doing, you would just check the general trend of these selected stocks and
then give an answer. These companies that you have identified collectively make
up the stock market index!
Stock Market Indices in India:
There are two main market indices in India. The S&P BSE Sensex representing the Bombay stock exchange and Nifty representing the National Stock exchange.S&P stands
for Standard and Poor’s, a global credit rating agency. S&P has the
technical expertise in constructing the index which they have licensed to the
BSE. Hence the index also carries the S&P tag. Nifty consists of the
largest and most frequently traded stocks within the National Stock Exchange.
An
ideal index gives us minute by minute reading about how the market participants
perceive the future. The movements in the Index reflect the changing
expectations of the market participants. When the index goes up, it is because
the market participants think the future will be better. The index drops if the
market participants perceive the future negative.
click here for Nifty50 & sensex comapnies list(june 2020).
Information –
The index
reflects the general market trend for a period of time. The index is a broad
representation of the country’s state of the economy.
For example the
Nifty value on the 1st of January 2020 was 11900 and the value as of 24th June 2020 was 10450.
This represents a change of 1450 points in the index of a 12.18% decrease. This
simply means that during the time period under consideration, the markets have
gone down quite significantly indicating a negative economic future.
The time frame
for calculating the index can be for any length of time. For example, the Index
at 9:30 AM on 25th June 2020 was at 10520 but an hour later it moves to 10506.
A drop of 14 points during this period indicates that the market participants
are not too enthusiastic.
It is important to know how the index is
constructed /calculated especially if one wants to advance as an index trader.
As we discussed, the Index is a composition of many stocks from different
sectors which collectively represents the state of the economy. To include a
stock in the index it should qualify certain criteria. Once qualified as an
index stock, it should continue to qualify on the stated criteria. If it fails
to maintain the criteria, the stock gets replaced by another stock that
qualifies the prerequisites.
Based on the selection procedure the list of
stocks is populated. Each stock in the index should be assigned a certain
weightage. Weightage in simpler terms defines how much importance a certain
stock in the index gets compared to the others. For example, if Reliance Limited has 14% weightage on the Nifty 50 index, then it is as good as saying
that the 14% of Nifty’s movement can be attributed to Reliance.
The obvious question is – How do we assign
weights to the stock that make up the Index?
There are many ways to assign weights but the
Indian stock exchange follows a method called free-float market
capitalization. The weights are assigned based on the free-float
market capitalization of the company, the larger the market capitalization, the
higher is the weight.
Free float market capitalization is the
product of the total number of shares outstanding in the market, and the price
of the stock.
For example company, ABC has a total of 100
shares outstanding in the market, and the stock price is at 50 then the
free-float market cap of ABC is 100*50 = Rs.5,000.
Sector specific indices
While the Sensex and Nifty represent the broader markets there are certain indices that represents specific sectors. These are called the sectoral indices. For example the Bank Nifty on NSE represents the mood specific to the banking industry. The CNX IT on NSE represents the behavior of all the IT stocks in the stock markets. Both BSE and NSE have sector specific indexes. The construction and maintenance of these indices is similar to the other major indices.
Major factors that affect the performance of indices:
Stock
markets are considered to reflect the state of the economy. Whenever there is a
slowdown in the economy, there is sluggishness in the market too.
·
a. Change in interest rate:
When
the interest rates are increased, the borrowing cost for companies increases.
To compensate this, the companies cut their expenses in many ways. This affects
the company’s earnings and as a result the stock markets fall.
·
b. Inflation rate:
When
there is high inflation, investors do not have surplus amount that can be used
for investment purposes. Companies also suffer as they should pass on the
higher input costs to the consumers.
c. Global economy:
· A recession in global economy will affect the stock markets. Other factors that impact the stock market are crude oil prices, rupee depreciation, political instability, etc.
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